02/05/2013 @ 07:21 GMT
The latest indications on output from both China and the Eurozone paint a disappointing picture for near-term growth prospects, but maybe not a wholly surprising one. There is a striking pattern to the way data is turning out in the developed economies over the previous two years. If we’re on a path to further disappointment, what could this mean for currency markets in the rest of the second quarter?
23/04/13 @ 14:06 GMT by Simon Smith, Chief Economist
29/11/2012 @ 09:34 GMT
We’ve a few weeks to go before the year draws to a close, but unless something dramatic happens this is shaping up to be one of the least dramatic years for FX in recent times. Not only are we seeing less volatility, but looking at the net changes across the majors, now vs. 2011 closing values, the standard deviation is the second lowest over the past 12 years. Remove the yen (USD/JPY up 7% this year), then the standard deviation of net changes is the same as for 2011. The other way of interpreting this is the multi-year lows we are seeing in overall implied volatility measures (e.g.
26/11/12 @ 12:52 GMT by Simon Smith, Chief Economist
25/10/2012 @ 13:33 GMT
27/09/2012 @ 10:31 GMT
18/09/2012 @ 07:09 GMT
14/09/2012 @ 09:26 GMT
11/09/2012 @ 09:51 GMT
16/08/2012 @ 07:17 GMT
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